With the Conservatives and the Liberals running a tight race in the polls so far, whether or not the Liberals will remain in power following the September election continues to come into question.
A poll by Nanos Research with CTV and The Globe and Mail, through a random telephone survey conducted nightly to maintain a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 respondents, found that over the three nights ending Aug. 30, voting preference at that time would put the Liberals slightly ahead at 33.2 per cent, followed by the Conservatives at 32.5 per cent, NDP at 19.2 per cent, Bloc Québécois at 6.4 per cent, Green Party at 4.6 per cent and the People’s Party at 3.3 per cent.
A survey conducted by Research Co., an online survey of 1,000 adults in Canada, conducted from Aug. 28 to Aug. 30, found that 33 per cent of decided voters support the Liberal Party, 32 per cent intend to vote Conservative at this point, 22 per cent would vote NDP, six per cent would vote for the Bloc Québécois, four per cent would support the Green Party and three per cent would vote for the People’s Party.
There are also a number of polls that have the Conservatives with a slight lead over the Liberals.
A poll from Leger and The Canadian Press of 1,723 decided voters in Canada between Aug. 27 and Aug. 30, found that 34 per cent of respondents intend to vote Conservative at this point, 30 per cent support the Liberals, 24 per cent would vote NDP, seven per cent support the Bloc Québécois, three per cent would vote People’s Party and two per cent would vote for the Green Party.
The latest poll from the Angus Reid Institute, conducted through online survey from Aug. 27 to Aug. 29 with a representative randomized sample of 1,639 Canadian adults who are members of Angus Reid Forum, found that 33 per cent of decided and leaning voters support the Conservative party, 30 per cent intend to vote Liberal, 21 per cent support the NDP, seven per cent support the Bloc Québécois, four per cent would vote People’s Party and three per cent support the Green Party.
While party support is one aspect of voting, personal preference in terms of who would make the best, or most liked, prime minister is another piece of the puzzle.
The Nanos Research poll with CTV and The Globe and Mail found that Justin Trudeau is the most preferred prime minister with 30.5 per cent support, followed by Erin O’Toole at 27.7 per cent, Jagmeet Singh at 19 per cent, Maxime Bernier at 3.7 per cent, Yves-François Blanchet at 2.8 per cent and Annamie Paul with 1.6 per cent support.
Research Co. found that when respondents were asked which one of the five leaders running Canada-wide campaigns would make the best head of government, Trudeau received 32 per cent support, followed by O’Toole at 26 per cent, Singh at 20 per cent, Bernier at three per cent and Paul at one per cent.
The poll for Leger and The Canadian Press found that 41 per cent on respondents said that their opinion of Trudeau has deteriorated over the past week, from the date they participated in the survey, 23 per cent said their opinion of O’Toole improved and the same percentage indicated their opinion of Singh has improved as well.
Angus Reid Institute found that Singh continues to be viewed as the most favourable party leader in Canada with 52 per cent support, followed by Blanchet at 47 per cent favourability (Quebec only). O’Toole seems to be increasing in favourability among Canadians, according to this poll, now at 38 per cent, over Trudeau’s 34 per cent.